An Eye on the Tropics: Hurricane Hanna – 1-SEP-2008 8:00 AM

A nearly stationary Tropical Storm Hanna continues to churn just north of the Bahamas. Computer models finally are determining the future track of the storm. Though Florida is within the cone of uncertainty, Georgia and South Carolina seems to be the most likely point of landfall.

Since this storm has had the models confused for days, we’ll just have to keep an eye on this storm to see if there are any changes the middle of the week.

[Update:  Tropical Storm Hanna has strengthened into Hurricane Hanna with winds at 75 mpg at the 2:00 pm advisory.]

A tropical storm warning is in effect for the Turks and Caicos islands, as well as the central and southeastern Bahamas.

Monday, September 01, 2008 – 8:00 AM advisory – from AccuWeather

Tropical Storm Hanna was located near 23.6 north, 72.4 west, or 90 miles north-northeast of the southeastern Bahama Islands. Hanna has become nearly stationary with maximum-sustained winds estimated near 50 mph.

Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles. The estimated central pressure in Hanna is 996 millibars, or 29.41 inches.

Hanna remains poorly organized as it continues to interact with an upper-level low. This interaction should prevent Hanna from intensifying much through Monday night. The storm is expected to remain nearly stationary or perhaps even loop just east of the central Bahamas during Monday and Tuesday. During this time, Hanna probably won’t intensify enough to become a hurricane, but it could become a strong tropical storm by Wednesday. Beyond Wednesday, Hanna should start to move to the north or northwest and could move at a much faster pace on Thursday into Friday according to recent computer forecast information. During this time, Hanna could intensify into a hurricane and perhaps affect the southeast coast of the United States by Friday. Through Monday, tropical storm-force winds should be mostly east and northeast of the center. However, the Turks and Caicos islands as well as the central and southeastern Bahamas will experience occasional wind gusts to and over tropical storm-force.

Tropical Storm Hanna Spaghetti Model 1

Tropical Storm Hanna Spaghetti Model 1

Tropical Storm Hanna Spaghetti Model 2

Tropical Storm Hanna Spaghetti Model 2

Tropical Storm Hanna Spaghetti Model 3

Tropical Storm Hanna Spaghetti Model 3

Tropical Storm Hanna Spaghetti Model 4

Tropical Storm Hanna Spaghetti Model 4

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