An Eye on the Tropics: [Update] TD7 is now Tropical Storm Gustav

Update: August 25 2:00 PM Advisory:

Tropical Depression 7 strengthens into Tropical Storm Gustav. Winds are near 60 mph. There is high likelihood that it will reach hurricane strength as early as tonight. Minimum Central Pressure is 996 mb.

At 11 a.m. EDT, the center of the depression was located near 15.5 north and 70.1 west or about 260 miles southeast of Port Au Prince, Haiti, and was moving to the northwest at near 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb … 29.71 inches.

This system is expected to strengthen over the next couple of days and bring heavy rain to Hispaniola. With rainfall totals expected to average 5 to 7 inches with local amounts up to 24 inches, life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides will be a big concern for Hispaniola.

Advisories: A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Santa Domingo to Port-au-Prince, Haiti.A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from Port-au-Prince, Haiti to the northern border of the Dominican Republic.

The storm is trekking westward so interests in Jamaica, eastern Cuba and the southern Bahamas should monitor this storm closely.

Tropical Depression 7 - Spaghetti Model


Update on Tropical Rainstorm Fay:

The National Hurricane Center has issued its final advisory for Fay.

As of 6 a.m. CDT, Tropical Rainstorm Fay was located over southwestern Mississippi. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph with higher gusts. Fay is nearly stationary and will remain so today into tonight.

Fay continues to weaken and open up, and it has a large circulation that stretches from eastern Texas across the lower Mississippi Valley into the Deep South. Heavy rain has spread out into widely separated bands that will continue to rotate around the center of circulation over the next 12-24 hours, and this will reduce the threat of large-scale flooding, but there can still be smaller pockets of heavy rain that can cause localized flooding. The positive aspect will be the rainfall near Atlanta and other areas that are in a drought.

Fay will begin to move to the northeast Tuesday into Wednesday as an upper-level trough currently over the Pacific Northwest moves eastward across the northern and central Plains. Fay will be steered northeast by this trough, and areas of moderate to heavy rain will spread to the north and east across the Tennessee Valley into the southern Appalachians Tuesday and Wednesday. In drought-stricken areas across eastern areas of Tennessee and Kentucky, this will be welcome.

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3 responses to “An Eye on the Tropics: [Update] TD7 is now Tropical Storm Gustav

  1. David Lieber

    This website is laid out very nicely and is easy to read! Thanks for producing this!

  2. This doesn’t look good for Florida.

    Are you blogging from Florida?

  3. Yes. I am in South Florida.
    The good news is the 8 PM track has the storm spending more time over Cuba (which will hinder intensification) and then moving into the Gulf.