An Eye on the Tropics – Tropical Storm Fay – Saturday 23-AUG-2008
After 5 days, Tropical Storm Fay is finally moving out of Florida.
A tropical storm warning is in effect from Suwanee River, Florida, westward to the Alabama-Mississippi border.
As of 7:00 p.m. CDT, Tropical Storm Fay is located at 30.7 north, 86.7 west, or 35 miles northeast of Pensacola, Florida. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph with higher gusts. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward from the center of Fay up to 90 miles. The minimum central pressure of Fay is 999 millibars or 29.50 inches, and the storm is moving to the west-northwest at 7 mph.
Extremely heavy rainfall is the primary threat from Fay as she tracks slowly westward along the central Gulf Coast tonight into tomorrow. Nearly 6 inches of rain has fallen in Tallahassee, Florida, today alone, bringing their storm total to almost 10 inches during the past two days. Radar-estimated rainfall has ranged between 10 to 20 inches for parts of the Florida Panhandle since Friday evening. Fay will also continue to produce isolated tornadoes to the north and especially east of the track of the storm.
Fay will continue to produce torrential rains from the Florida Panhandle across Alabama and Mississippi into eastern Louisiana through the end of the weekend and even into early next week. Additional rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with localized amounts of 20 inches still remain possible across the Gulf coast states through early next week.
Fay is expected to remain a tropical storm through at least Sunday morning before potentially diminishing into a tropical depression by later Sunday. Despite remaining a tropical storm through Sunday, the wind field is not terribly strong. The winds will continue to diminish through early next week as the primary focus will continue on the rainfall. Coastal flooding and very rough surf and riptides can occur anywhere along the west coast of the Florida Peninsula with tides running 1 to 3 feet above normal and close to 4 feet above normal, especially across the Florida Panhandle.
Tropical Storm Fay - Spaghetti Model