An Eye on the Tropics – Tropical Storm Fay – Saturday 16-AUG-2008 11pm

Tropical Storm Fay is looking at Cuba, the Florida Keys and Florida.

Update: 11:00 PM update for Saturday, August 16, 2008 (from AccuWeather)

As of 11:00 p.m. EDT Fay was located 100 miles north of Kingston, Jamaica near 19.4 north, 76.3 west. Fay is moving west at 14 mph. Maximum-sustained winds are near 45 mph with higher gusts, are mainly occurring over northern side of the storm.

Florida Governor Charlie Crist has declared a state of emergency because Fay “threatens the state of Florida with a major disaster,” he wrote in an executive order.

Four people have been killed in Haiti and the Dominican Republic due to flooding from Tropical Storm Fay.

Current indications are that Fay will continue on a mainly westerly course through Saturday night and early Sunday. On this track, Fay will remain over the very warm open waters just south of Cuba through Saturday night and much of the day Sunday. If this track does take place, there is ample room for intensification and it is possible that Fay will strengthen into a hurricane. The only limiting factor will be the mountainous terrain of Cuba close by.

Eventually, Fay will become affected by a weakness in an upper-level ridge to the north that now exists over the western Atlantic Ocean. This would start to turn Fay more to the northwest and then north. The turn will most likely to happen on Sunday night and would take Fay across Cuba and then back over the open waters south or southwest of Florida.

There is still a fairly widespread area of possible tracks according to computer models, from just east of Florida to the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The majority of them, however, indicate a path over the western portion of the Florida Peninsula. Although interaction with Cuba will have some effect on the strength of Fay, once back over the warm waters of the Florida Straits or Gulf of Mexico, additional strengthening can occur.

School Updates

As of this posting, all schools in Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach Counties have NOT BEEN CANCELLED. Students are scheduled to begin the school year on Monday, August 18, 2008.

Emergency School Hotlines

In Miami-Dade: 305-468-5400

In Broward: 754-321-0321

In Palm Beach County: 561-357-7500 (The message is recorded in English, Spanish and Creole)

Note: This was posted 16-AUG-2008 at 11:30 PM EDT

Update: For latest Tropical Storm Fay posting – please go to My2Buck$ Eye On The Tropics

TS Fay Spaghetti Model 1

TS Fay Spaghetti Model 1

Fay Spaghetti Model 2 - Where's Florida?

Fay Spaghetti Model 2 - Where's Florida

Tropical Storm Fay Satellite Loop

Tropical Storm Fay Satellite Loop


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