Mandatory evacuations have begun for New Orleans.
Updated: 7 a.m. CDT
Location: 24.7 N, 85.5 W
Moving: NW at 16 mph
Wind: 120 mph
Pressure: 958 mb (28.29 in)
Mandatory evacuations have begun for New Orleans.
Updated: 7 a.m. CDT
Location: 24.7 N, 85.5 W
Moving: NW at 16 mph
Wind: 120 mph
Pressure: 958 mb (28.29 in)
Dangerous Category 4 Hurricane Gustav update
Saturday, August 30, 2008 – 8:00 PM
Hurricane Gustav is an extremely dangerous category 4 storm. Winds are 150 mph – moving Northwest at near 15 mph – located 65 miles west southwest of Havana, Cuba. Estimated central pressure is 941 mb or 27.79 inches.
Once it moves past Cuba late tonight, Gustav could strengthen into a category 5 hurricane.
Gustav is expected to make U.S. landfall along the Louisiana coast possibly as a category 4. There is a high pressure area that may deflect Gustav on a more westerly course which would increase the impact on Texas.
Tropical Storm Hanna is out in the Atlantic and is not expected to affect any land for a number of days. Computer models suggest that sometime over the next week, Hanna is expected curve back to the southwest where the storm will head towards the Bahamas and then possibly Cuba. Southeast Florida is still within the ‘cone of uncertainty’.
Hurricane Gustav Continues to Strengthen
Hurricane Gustav has strengthened to a major Category 3 storm. Winds are now at 120 mph and is still gaining strength. Gustav is responsible for 71 deaths in the Caribbean. After crossing western Cuba, Gustav will move into the Gulf of Mexico and most models have the storm eventually reaching U.S. landfall in the Louisiana or Texas area.
Gustav will be trouble next week.
As the storm exits Jamaica tomorrow and enters the waters of the Caribbean, Gustav will strengthen into a category 1 hurricane. By Sunday, Gustav is expected to enter the Gulf of Mexico as a category 3 and at some point could strengthen into a category 4 hurricane.
Though the future path is uncertain with the unpredictability of tropical cyclones, most computer models agree that Gustav will come ashore the middle of next week somewhere around Louisiana. This could be disastrous for an area that still hasn’t recovered from Hurricane Katrina 3 years ago.
Hanna to remain a tropical storm for a while.
Hanna is moving toward the northwest and is encountering wind sheer which will impede intensification. This situation is expected to continue for a couple of days. Somewhere over the weekend, Hanna could strengthen into a hurricane.
Computer models agree that heading into the middle of next week Hanna will begin to shift back to the southwest toward Florida but where Hanna will actually wind up is quite uncertain.
Good news for Florida – Bad news for the Louisiana / Texas coast.
Tropical Storm Gustav has turned to the west and Florida is now out of the ‘cone of uncertainty.’ The bad news is Gustav is expected to strengthen back to hurricane force as early as today and after it passes the western tip of Cuba will encounter nothing but open warm water while it treks through the Gulf of Mexico.
Gustav stalled yesterday over Haiti dumping more than 12 inches of rain. There have been 23 reported deaths in Haiti and the Dominican Republic.
Tropical Depression 8 is out in the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean at this time posing no threat to land. She is expected to become Tropical Storm Hanna later today and a hurricane before Labor Day.
[Update: 11 am advisory - TD 8 strengthens into Tropical Storm Hanna.]
The storm is expected to maintain a west-northwesterly / northwesterly track through early next week when most models indicate a turn back to the southwest toward the east coast of Florida.
The latest computer models indicate a more westerly track for Gustav as it is expected to remain in the Caribbean south of Cuba and either head toward the Yucatan Peninsula or into the Gulf of Mexico. Gustav is expected to strengthen further becoming a major category 3 hurricane (winds greater than 110 mph) over the next few days.
The Center of Hurricane Gustav is located near position 17.5 north and 72.0 west or 75 miles south-southeast of Port au Prince, Haiti and about 265 miles southeast of Guantanamo, Cuba.
Gustav is moving northwest near 9 mph. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph. Minimum Central Pressure is 981 mb.
Tropical Depression 7 strengthens into Tropical Storm Gustav. Winds are near 60 mph. There is high likelihood that it will reach hurricane strength as early as tonight. Minimum Central Pressure is 996 mb.
All eyes have been focused on Tropical Storm Fay as she moves westward through the Florida Panhandle. She is currently 35 miles northeast of Pensacola, Florida tracking toward Alabama and Mississippi. (For more on Tropical Storm Fay – click here.)
As of 11 PM EDT, August 23, 2008
Elsewhere in the tropics, a broad area of low pressure is located about one hundred miles east of the Windward Islands, producing showers and thunderstorms. Slow development is possible over the next couple of days as it moves westward.
A tropical wave located about 800 miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands is producing some showers and thunderstorms. The visible satellite imagery from Saturday afternoon shows a little cyclonic turning with this feature, and slow development is possible over the next couple of days as it tracks westward.
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