Category Archives: Hurricane Season

An Eye on the Tropics: Hurricane Hanna – 1-SEP-2008 8:00 AM

A nearly stationary Tropical Storm Hanna continues to churn just north of the Bahamas. Computer models finally are determining the future track of the storm. Though Florida is within the cone of uncertainty, Georgia and South Carolina seems to be the most likely point of landfall.

Since this storm has had the models confused for days, we’ll just have to keep an eye on this storm to see if there are any changes the middle of the week.

[Update:  Tropical Storm Hanna has strengthened into Hurricane Hanna with winds at 75 mpg at the 2:00 pm advisory.]

[Tropical Storm Hanna Details and Maps]

An Eye on the Tropics: Tropical Storm Hanna – 31-AUG-2008 10:30 AM

Computer Models have changed drastically in the last 24 hours. Experts are not certain if the high pressure ridge that is over the Eastern United States will weaken allowing Hanna to turn north over the next few days.

[Tropical Storm Hanna Details and Maps]

An Eye on the Tropics: Hurricane Gustav – 31-AUG-2008 10:30 AM

Mandatory evacuations have begun for New Orleans.

Hurricane Gustav

Updated: 7 a.m. CDT

Location: 24.7 N, 85.5 W

Moving: NW at 16 mph

Wind: 120 mph

Pressure: 958 mb (28.29 in)

[Hurricane Gustav Details and Maps]

An Eye on the Tropics: Hurricane Gustav – 30-AUG-2008 8:00 PM

Dangerous Category 4 Hurricane Gustav update

Saturday, August 30, 2008 – 8:00 PM

Hurricane Gustav is an extremely dangerous category 4 storm. Winds are 150 mph – moving Northwest at near 15 mph – located 65 miles west southwest of Havana, Cuba. Estimated central pressure is 941 mb or 27.79 inches.

Once it moves past Cuba late tonight, Gustav could strengthen into a category 5 hurricane.

Gustav is expected to make U.S. landfall along the Louisiana coast possibly as a category 4. There is a high pressure area that may deflect Gustav on a more westerly course which would increase the impact on Texas.

[Hurricane Gustav Details and Maps]

An Eye on the Tropics: Tropical Storm Hanna – 30-AUG-2008 9:00 AM

Tropical Storm Hanna is out in the Atlantic and is not expected to affect any land for a number of days. Computer models suggest that sometime over the next week, Hanna is expected curve back to the southwest where the storm will head towards the Bahamas and then possibly Cuba. Southeast Florida is still within the ‘cone of uncertainty’.

[Tropical Storm Hanna Details and Maps]

An Eye on the Tropics: Hurricane Gustav – 30-AUG-2008 9:00 AM

Hurricane Gustav Continues to Strengthen

Hurricane Gustav has strengthened to a major Category 3 storm. Winds are now at 120 mph and is still gaining strength. Gustav is responsible for 71 deaths in the Caribbean. After crossing western Cuba, Gustav will move into the Gulf of Mexico and most models have the storm eventually reaching U.S. landfall in the Louisiana or Texas area.

[Hurricane Gustav Details and Maps]

An Eye on the Tropics: T.S. / Hurricane Gustav – 29-AUG-2008 7:00 AM

Gustav will be trouble next week.

As the storm exits Jamaica tomorrow and enters the waters of the Caribbean, Gustav will strengthen into a category 1 hurricane. By Sunday, Gustav is expected to enter the Gulf of Mexico as a category 3 and at some point could strengthen into a category 4 hurricane.

Though the future path is uncertain with the unpredictability of tropical cyclones, most computer models agree that Gustav will come ashore the middle of next week somewhere around Louisiana. This could be disastrous for an area that still hasn’t recovered from Hurricane Katrina 3 years ago.

[More Gustav Details and Maps]

An Eye on the Tropics: Tropical Storm Hanna – 29-AUG-2008 5:00 AM

Hanna to remain a tropical storm for a while.

Hanna is moving toward the northwest and is encountering wind sheer which will impede intensification. This situation is expected to continue for a couple of days. Somewhere over the weekend, Hanna could strengthen into a hurricane.

Computer models agree that heading into the middle of next week Hanna will begin to shift back to the southwest toward Florida but where Hanna will actually wind up is quite uncertain.

[More Hanna Details and Maps]

An Eye on the Tropics: T.S. / Hurricane Gustav – 28-AUG-2008 8:00 AM

Good news for Florida – Bad news for the Louisiana / Texas coast.

Tropical Storm Gustav has turned to the west and Florida is now out of the ‘cone of uncertainty.’ The bad news is Gustav is expected to strengthen back to hurricane force as early as today and after it passes the western tip of Cuba will encounter nothing but open warm water while it treks through the Gulf of Mexico.

Gustav stalled yesterday over Haiti dumping more than 12 inches of rain. There have been 23 reported deaths in Haiti and the Dominican Republic.

[More Gustav Details and Maps]

An Eye on the Tropics: T.D. 8 / Tropical Storm Hanna – 28-AUG-2008 8:00 AM

Tropical Depression 8 is out in the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean at this time posing no threat to land. She is expected to become Tropical Storm Hanna later today and a hurricane before Labor Day.

[Update:  11 am advisory - TD 8 strengthens into Tropical Storm Hanna.]

The storm is expected to maintain a west-northwesterly / northwesterly track through early next week when most models indicate a turn back to the southwest toward the east coast of Florida.

[More TD 8 / Hanna Details and Maps]

Hurricane Gustav May Hit US Coast During GOP Convention

I’ve been blogging about Tropical Storm Fay and now Hurricane Gustav but have you noticed the current projection map . . . and the timing?

Come Monday, a category 3 Hurricane Gustav should be somewhere in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico.  It should be bearing down on the Texas or Louisiana coast.  And the oil rigs in the gulf will be in harm’s way.  

Also scheduled for Monday – The Republican National Convention in the Twin Cities.  We’ll all be watching, except for the cities that will be glued to the approaching hurricane. 

Somewhere between Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday morning, the storm should be barreling into the U.S. shoreline.  If power is lost in that region, there will be a decent number of Americans in Red States who will not be able to see the VP candidate speak on Wednesday or McCain speak on Thursday.   And when do Bush and Cheney speak?

As I have said, I live in Hurricane Alley and blog about the storms.  They are to be taken seriously because you never know what to expect. 

The irony here is that the Republican Party has a strong history of treating Americans in hurricane ravaged areas really poorly.  (Actually it is all disaster ravaged areas.)  So, their convention – where they can expect a huge bump in the polls – will run face-to-face with a strong Hurricane Gustav. 

How will the GOP respond to the areas hit by this storm?

Will McCain vow to actually respond to hurricane victims if he is elected president? 

Will his thoughts and prayers be with the victims and families?

How can they talk about offshore drilling when the offshore rigs are vulnerable to these storms?

Who will the GOP blame?

How will they determine that Barack Obama caused this?

Personally, I’d prefer it if this storm fizzles out and the GOP convention were to go off without a hitch.  America needs to see what an angry, bitter, mean and selfish group of people these Republican leaders are.

An Eye on the Tropics: Hurricane Gustav – 27-AUG-2008 8:00 AM

Last night, Hurricane Gustav weakened to a Tropical Storm as it trekked across Haiti. It is expected to strengthen once it leaves the island returning to hurricane strength sometime in the next 24 – 36 hours.

Long range computer models forecast this storm will head into the Gulf of Mexico heading towards the Louisiana coast as a category 3 hurricane (winds between 111 – 130 mph). Of course, these storms are very unpredictable and much can happen over the next few days.

[Tropical Storm Gustav Details and Maps]

An Eye on the Tropics: Hurricane Gustav – 26-AUG-2008 8:00 AM

The latest computer models indicate a more westerly track for Gustav as it is expected to remain in the Caribbean south of Cuba and either head toward the Yucatan Peninsula or into the Gulf of Mexico. Gustav is expected to strengthen further becoming a major category 3 hurricane (winds greater than 110 mph) over the next few days.

The Center of Hurricane Gustav is located near position 17.5 north and 72.0 west or 75 miles south-southeast of Port au Prince, Haiti and about 265 miles southeast of Guantanamo, Cuba.

Gustav is moving northwest near 9 mph. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph. Minimum Central Pressure is 981 mb.

[Hurricane Gustav Details and Maps]

An Eye on the Tropics: [Update] TD7 is now Tropical Storm Gustav

Update: August 25 2:00 PM Advisory:

Tropical Depression 7 strengthens into Tropical Storm Gustav. Winds are near 60 mph. There is high likelihood that it will reach hurricane strength as early as tonight. Minimum Central Pressure is 996 mb.

For more details and maps